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Riyadh Office Market 2026: Rents, Occupancy, and What They Mean for Developers

Riyadhoffice marketfeasibility

Riyadh is one of the tightest major office markets in the world right now. Here are the current numbers, their sources, and the development math they imply.

The headline figures

Metric Figure Source
Prime office rent SAR 3,630/m²/yr JLL, Q1 2026
Grade A average rent SAR 2,750/m²/yr Knight Frank, Q3 2025
KAFD prime range SAR 3,500–4,000/m²/yr SAT Real Estate, Q1 2026
Grade A occupancy ~99% CBRE, Q4 2025

Note the spread between "prime" and "Grade A average" — roughly SAR 900/m²/yr. Which figure belongs in your model depends entirely on whether your scheme genuinely competes at the prime tier (location, specification, floor plates), and being honest about that is worth more than any other assumption you'll make.

What 99% occupancy actually means

Occupancy this high means the market has effectively run out of Grade A stock. For tenants it means limited choice and rising rents. For developers it means pre-leasing risk on well-specified schemes is historically low — the demand-side question that usually dominates office feasibility largely answers itself. The binding constraints shift to land price and delivery timeline.

The development math

Take the benchmarks above through a simple capitalisation: prime rent of SAR 3,630 at 99% occupancy less roughly SAR 350/m² operating costs gives NOI around SAR 3,244/m². At a 7% cap rate, that's approximately SAR 46,300 of capitalised value per leasable square metre — against a construction benchmark near SAR 9,000/m² of GFA for high-rise Grade A product. The margin between those numbers is what funds land, fees, finance, and profit. It's wide — which is exactly why land owners are pricing aggressively, and why the residual land value calculation, not the rent assumption, decides whether a specific deal works.

The risk worth naming

Numbers this strong invite supply. Multiple towers are in the pipeline in and around KAFD and the northern corridors, and feasibility run on today's 99% occupancy should be stress-tested at 90–93% — the level our own model defaults to for new Grade A stock, precisely to build in that delivery-cycle caution. If your scheme only pencils at 99%, it doesn't pencil.

Frequently asked questions

What is the average office rent in Riyadh?

Grade A average rents are around SAR 2,750/m²/yr (Knight Frank), with prime space reaching SAR 3,630/m²/yr (JLL, Q1 2026) and top KAFD floors quoted up to SAR 4,000.

Is Riyadh office space fully occupied?

Effectively — CBRE put Grade A occupancy at approximately 99% in Q4 2025.

Is it a good time to build offices in Riyadh?

The current rent/occupancy combination is exceptionally supportive, but incoming supply and land pricing determine individual deal viability. Run the residual on your specific plot rather than relying on market-level enthusiasm.

Test an office scheme on your plot with these benchmarks pre-loaded — and overridable: plotiq.io, free during beta.